ECPR

Install the app

Install this application on your home screen for quick and easy access when you’re on the go.

Just tap Share then “Add to Home Screen”

Navigating the Indo-Pacific AI Nexus: Middle-Power Responses to Great Power Technological Rivalry

International Relations
Public Policy Studies
Political Organizations and Institutions
Comparative Politics
Tao Chen
CQUniversity Australia
Tao Chen
CQUniversity Australia

Abstract

As artificial intelligence (AI) has become a new core trajectory of great power rivalry, the Indo-Pacific emerges as a primary arena for an intensifying technological scramble. While traditional international relations (IR) analyses focus mainly on the military advancement of superpower armed forces, a prominent research gap remains in understanding how this new type of competition reshapes regional security architectures and middle-power agency within the broader AI nexus. Interestingly, middle powers in this region react differently when it comes to prudently choosing their strategic paths. On the one hand, Australia adopts a highly structured, securitised approach aligned with Western frameworks like AUKUS and the Quad, treating AI governance as a vital element of its national security, defence and democratic necessity. On the other hand, ASEAN countries, like Singapore and Malaysia, refuse to participate in this binary zero-sum game. They advocate a 'Third Way' that is non-aligned, focusing on sovereign cloud strategies and localised data-sovereignty laws to maintain their strategic autonomy and protect their national interests from superpower pressure. The aim of this research is to provide a comparative analysis of these divergent frameworks up to date by demonstrating that navigating the AI nexus is not merely a hard-power arms race. Instead, it presents a complex structural struggle over international norms, data sovereignty, and technological utilisation. Ultimately, this study offers a fresh framework for evaluating how middle powers actively exercise strategic agency rather than being passive observers of these groundbreaking technological shifts in the region and the world.